A lot will depend how healthy Novak is and whether he can right his ship in time. I think he will. These ATP 1000's are just limbering up events these days for Novak and I'm not sure they have any meaning at this stage in his rather illustrious career. It's all about getting his ducks in a row for slams. Carlos won't easy to beat in 5 sets either. He has the makings of a five set monster like the Big 3.
I have a feeling Rune and Meddy will fall short...don't know why I think that, just do.
French Open
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