French Open

[jimlosaltos]

Interesting to revisit this now. So, Zverev has won two slams and currently holds the "record" of being the only player to win 2 slams in a year where they hold no other titles.

I'm not posting that to criticize him, just in amazement. This year's Zverev beats most everybody not in the top 10, wins few matches against the top 10, but won 2 slams facing hardly any of those. Previously, Zverev had been the only 2 time Tour Final winner without a slam title. Some times luck just breaks your way. And nobody works harder on court than Zverev.

Career & Season Overview

• Grand Slam Titles Won: 2 (2026 French Open, 2026 US Open)

• ATP Tour Finals Won: 2 (2018, 2021)

• 2026 Record vs. Top 10: 2–8 [1, 2]

2026 Top 10 Breakdown

2026 Wins vs. Top 10	2 (Taylor Fritz at Wimbledon, Ben Shelton at the US Open final)
2026 Losses vs. Top 10	8
Current 2026 Record	57–14 Overall

Today, he lost to Djokovic from a set up demonstrating why he (2026 version) struggles with his peers in the top 10. Won the first set hitting aggressively. Then reverted to habit, backup and losing. Graphic from TheAthletic.

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[stotty]

So Zverev finally wins a slam. I see he took the opportunity to take down Sam Querry in a TV interview shortly after the match. That was a strange (and somewhat nasty) thing to do. I assume there's some bad history between them?

[giancarlo]

Well, is this the year when Zverev wins the French? Looking forward to this one...

Much has been said about his new serve, with the lower toss, etc.

[jimlosaltos]

The draw looks pretty wide open now that Sinner has been dumped out. It's a shame for Sinner. That was a slam in the bag were it not for his inability to cope in extreme heat. Not sure how he can combat that going forward as it's clearly a weakness. Zverev, Ruud and Novak are being touted as the most likely to emerge potential winners...but it could be anyone's from here in my view.

Draw is certainly open. For the first time in the entire Open era there, we're in the round of 16 and not a single man that has won a prior major title is left.

Only top 10 players left are FAA and Zverev. Despite that, this French Open has made more good matches than usual. As Jim Courier noted emphatically, the Fonseca-Djokovic match was worthy of a final. Tremendous opportunity for the likes of Casper Ruud and Zverev to finally get that 'slam title. Or maybe it will be like Boris Becker at Wimbledon and a teen will blast his way through.

Exact opposite on the women's side with former major champs, French champs, galore. Plus, the last two big clay titles were won by players not even in the top 5: Svitolina and Kostyuk.

As for Sinner and the heat: Yes, if it was a Greek play a god would have decided Sinner was too perfect and gave him an achilles heel. But, remember, Novak Djokovic had lots of trouble with the heat early in his career. Novak's problem was apparently fixable with sinus surgery { or a slice of wheat bread pressed on his stomach, if you want to believe Novak's book}. Pete Sampras had issues ..... let's look this up: "Pete Sampras was impaired by thalassemia minor, an inherited blood disorder that causes mild to moderate anemia. The condition limits the blood's ability to transport oxygen, which significantly reduced his physical stamina and often caused fatigue during long matches and in hot weather." Pete had problems in the Davis Up and US open and that had some influence on his offensive style.

More than once, after faltering in the heat Sinner has mentioned not feeling sharp in the morning. Coincidence or symptom?

[stotty]

The draw looks pretty wide open now that Sinner has been dumped out. It's a shame for Sinner. That was a slam in the bag were it not for his inability to cope in extreme heat. Not sure how he can combat that going forward as it's clearly a weakness. Zverev, Ruud and Novak are being touted as the most likely to emerge potential winners...but it could be anyone's from here in my view.

[jimlosaltos]

Today is the first round of the main draw at Stade Roland Garros. Djokovic, Zverev, Andreeva, Kostyuk, Frtiz (back from injury) among those on court today. As expected, Arthur Fils has pulled out with a hip injury.

Bookmakers' odds give Jannik Sinner an implied probability of winning of the French Open men's title of 75.61%. A note of caution: These are the second highest odds since 1990, topped only by Rafael Nadal (-400) in 2009 - when Rafa was upset in the fourth round by Sweden's Robin S?derling, leading to Fed's career slam.

On the women's side, Aryna Sabalenka's odds imply a winning probability of 28.57% vs Iga Swiatek's 26.67%

Here are the top 18 Men's and women's odds by DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday. Odds vary by bookmaker and by day. Remember, the purpose of odds is not to pick the winner but to get you to bet. I hope this table formatting holds up in our forum. Fingers crossed. Yeah!

2026 French Open Championship Odds

(1) Aryna Sabalenka	+250	Even	-185	(1) Jannik Sinner	-310	-900	-1200
(3) Iga Swiatek	+275	+135	-125	(2) Alexander Zverev	12-1	+300	+150
(4) Coco Gauff	+650	+300	+110	(3) Novak Djokovic	13-1	+450	+240
(2) Elena Rybakina	+650	+400	+160	(17) Arthur Fils	22-1	+600	+300
(8) Mirra Andreeva	+900	+450	+175	(27) Rafael Jodar	25-1	+750	+350
(7) Elina Svitolina	16-1	+600	+275	(15) Casper Ruud	28-1	+600	+300
(15) Marta Kostyuk	25-1	11-1	+500	(6) Daniil Medvedev	50-1	20-1	+300
(6) Amanda Anisimova	40-1	16-1	+650	(28) Joao Fonseca	80-1	18-1	+900
(9) Victoria Mboko	40-1	16-1	+800	(11) Andrey Rublev	100-1	16-1	+800
Zheng Qinwen	40-1	18-1	+650	(12) Jiri Lehecka	100-1	20-1	10-1
(10) Karolina Muchova	40-1	18-1	+650	(8) Alex De Minaur	100-1	20-1	11-1
(5) Jessica Pegula	50-1	16-1	+650	(26) Jakub Mensik	100-1	22-1	14-1
(16) Naomi Osaka	50-1	22-1	11-1	(25) Francisco Cerundolo	100-1	30-1	+500
Barbora Krejcikova	50-1	50-1	14-1	(4) Felix Auger-Aliassime	100-1	40-1	+600
(19) Madison Keys	60-1	40-1	14-1	(5) Ben Shelton	100-1	50-1	22-1
(13) Jasmine Paolini	60-1	50-1	14-1	(10) Flavio Cobolli	100-1	65-1	+700
(12) Linda Noskova	65-1	22-1	10-1	Stefanos Tsitsipas	100-1	65-1	30-1
(25) Diana Shnaider	65-1	80-1	20-1	Mariano Navone	100-1	80-1	16-1

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