Indian Wells ATP 1000

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  • stotty
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2009
    • 6634

    #46
    Originally posted by stroke
    Should be some battle Nadal vs C, a preview of the upcoming clay season. Nadal of course the favorite at an implied probability of about 62% of winning the match. I think the Alcaraz drop shot is going to be a key if Alcaraz can get it done.
    It's going to be one interesting match...really intriguing. Alcaraz seems supremely confident they way he walks around and carries himself on court. I can't imagine he's going to be overawed. But he is going to have to be good to beat Rafa in his current form. I only saw the first set against Nick but Rafa was playing well when it counted and has knack of winning extended deuce games. I find it almost annoying how he does that.
    Stotty

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    • stotty
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2009
      • 6634

      #47
      Good start for Alcaraz...2-0. Rafa playing the consistency card. Already you wonder whether Alcaraz can sustain it.
      Stotty

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      • stotty
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2009
        • 6634

        #48
        Alcaraz is blisteringly quick...
        Stotty

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        • stotty
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2009
          • 6634

          #49
          Rafa leads 4-2. My worries about Alcaraz sustaining his blistering form seem well founded. His serve is lacking technically and he doesn't seem to serve with any tactical intention, he lacks placement. Not sure how you beat Rafa with a deficient serve because it's tough to blister winners all afternoon off the ground, which is what it's going to take.

          Still early days but the writing looks already on the wall.
          Stotty

          Comment

          • stotty
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2009
            • 6634

            #50
            Now 4-4...getting interesting again. Rafa clearly thinks consistency will do it. Put plenty into play and let Alcaraz's unforced error count do the work. Let's see...
            Stotty

            Comment

            • stotty
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2009
              • 6634

              #51
              Rafa nicks the first set 6-4 and looks overall the superior player in most departments. If Alcaraz had a better serve in terms of placement and tactical intention, he would be right up there with Rafa. A bludgeon just won't do it.

              Alcaraz has electric speed around the court...reminds me of his opponent at 20. Bedtime here for Stotty but the writing looks on the wall to me.
              Stotty

              Comment

              • stroke
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2006
                • 5156

                #52
                Alcaraz to me is the best clay court prospect since Rafa. No, he is not as good at this point in his career as Nadal was, but that is the absolute highest standard. It will be interesting to see if Alcaraz, as his career unfolds, to see if he can become the 2nd best Spanish tennis player ever. And yes, his foot speed/court coverage is as good as anyone out there.
                Last edited by stroke; 03-19-2022, 04:32 PM.

                Comment

                • stroke
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2006
                  • 5156

                  #53
                  And one more thing, I have long liked Fritz' game.

                  Comment

                  • stotty
                    Senior Member
                    • Jan 2009
                    • 6634

                    #54
                    Originally posted by stroke
                    And one more thing, I have long liked Fritz' game.
                    Well he certainly earned his place in the final. I saw the second set which seemed to be ebbing Rublev's way at one point. I liked the way he was hitting his forehand when he got the opportunity, really pummelling it. He needs to carry that form into the final...and a bit more if he can. I will be rooting for him for sure. It would be great to see him win it in front of a home crowd. It wouldn't do American tennis any harm.
                    Stotty

                    Comment

                    • stroke
                      Senior Member
                      • Jan 2006
                      • 5156

                      #55
                      Originally posted by stotty

                      Well he certainly earned his place in the final. I saw the second set which seemed to be ebbing Rublev's way at one point. I liked the way he was hitting his forehand when he got the opportunity, really pummelling it. He needs to carry that form into the final...and a bit more if he can. I will be rooting for him for sure. It would be great to see him win it in front of a home crowd. It wouldn't do American tennis any harm.
                      It is going to take an immense effort by Taylor is he can win it. Oddmakers have Rafa at 80% implied probability of winning. The effort and level of play by Rafa and Alcaraz was something in that 3rd set. Rafa had some of his best net play/hand skills I have seen from him. Alcaraz actually had better looking match stats winners to errors yet still lost of course. Very unusual that, but Rafa was at his fight for every point best.

                      Comment

                      • stotty
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2009
                        • 6634

                        #56
                        Originally posted by stroke

                        It is going to take an immense effort by Taylor is he can win it. Oddmakers have Rafa at 80% implied probability of winning. The effort and level of play by Rafa and Alcaraz was something in that 3rd set. Rafa had some of his best net play/hand skills I have seen from him. Alcaraz actually had better looking match stats winners to errors yet still lost of course. Very unusual that, but Rafa was at his fight for every point best.
                        Yes it's tough to see Fritz pulling it off but you never know. It would be so nice for the crowd to have an American winner after so many years without one.
                        Stotty

                        Comment

                        • stroke
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2006
                          • 5156

                          #57
                          Originally posted by stotty

                          Yes it's tough to see Fritz pulling it off but you never know. It would be so nice for the crowd to have an American winner after so many years without one.
                          Stotty, sent you a pm

                          Comment

                          • stotty
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2009
                            • 6634

                            #58
                            Well done to Fritz but that was one disappointing final. I gave up after the first set and a bit and went to bed. Not sure what was wrong with Rafa but he seemed impaired in some way. The commentators seemed to think he'd pulled a muscle in the chest area.
                            Stotty

                            Comment

                            • glacierguy
                              Senior Member
                              • Dec 2017
                              • 411

                              #59
                              Yes, it was strange and a bit anti-climactic, but then developed its own drama. Rafa's not my favourite, but he earned respect for fighting against the inevitable. I'm sure the tournament is extremely grateful for his decision to play, and then play on (after first set). Pec. major injury is bad (personal experience) and hobbles serve and forehand.

                              Comment

                              • glacierguy
                                Senior Member
                                • Dec 2017
                                • 411

                                #60
                                Heard the Rafa injury is stress fracture to rib. I think that's better than pec. major injury. Should be straightforward recovery to full health.

                                Comment

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